Recent statistics from the Department for Constitutional Affairs state that court actions by mortgage lenders rose to 28,476 in the second quarter of this year for those that dont follow such trends thats up over 50% on one year ago. Also, at 18,330, the number of repossession orders was the highest for 9 years.
Although yet to reach the previous peak of around 40,000 repossessions in the second half of 1991, this is a very worrying trend for homeowners and landlords alike, who have got used to permanently rising prices and historically low interest rates and borrowed against ever increasing equity either to fund a higher quality lifestyle or to pay the deposits on further investment properties.
The massive house price inflation over the recent years gives lie to Gordon Browns boasts about his low inflation economy. However the mock shock horror at the antics of yet another lying politician is of no importance. What is VERY important is the fact that it is consumer borrowing against this property price inflation that has kept the economy afloat. With house price inflation slowing, stopping, or going into reverse (depending on whose statistics you believe), people have nothing left to borrow against and are reaching their limits. Combined with the UKs near total de-industrialisation and reliance on the service sector (which has little or no export value), this is going to have a serious negative effect on the economy in the near future.
So what does that mean for you the landlord? A sudden large-scale collapse in prices – as seen in the early nineties – seems unlikely to this author because there are still more people in need of housing than there are suitable and available properties; simple supply and demand economics – people will still need property to rent.
However if the economy takes a severe downturn, aside from other problems too complex to cover here, then a lot more peoples rent will have to be met by the government. As well as the obvious strain on the taxpayer, this is quite obviously bad news for those private landlords who refuse to take tenants who are claiming housing benefit. If you think about it, Housing Benefit is better than free property advertising in that there are a constant stream of takers and the cheques definitely do not bounce!
Those negative landlords are, as in every business, the ones that will find themselves being left behind the proactive landlords who have already opened their minds and embraced the income stream generated by tenants on Housing Benefit. Although there may be problems at the moment, the council is working very hard to overcome them and make the service all that it should be.